Texas Market Intelligence

Diesel Dropped Below $5.00 Per Gallon for the First Time Since the Spring Spike. Here Is What That Means for Q3 Delivery Budgets in Texas

The EIA’s weekly retail fuel data released June 23, 2026 confirmed diesel at $4.832 per gallon for the week ending June 22, 2026, per EIA via FRED (Source: EIA via FRED, June 23, 2026). That is the fifth consecutive weekly decline from the April peak above $5.80 and the first reading below $5.00 since before the supply disruptions that drove the spring price spike. When the EIA released its June Short-Term Energy Outlook on June 9, the full-year 2026 diesel forecast was $3.40 per gallon. As of June 22, the market has moved to within alignment with that projection.

The five-week decline in numbers: the week of April 21 was $5.80 at peak. The week of April 28 confirmed $5.639. The week of May 25 confirmed $5.523. The week of June 8 confirmed $5.21. The week of June 15 confirmed $5.059. The week of June 22 confirmed $4.832. Each week lower than the last. The direction has been consistent and the June 22 reading crosses the threshold that matters most for contractor budget planning, below $5.00 is a meaningfully different reference point than above it.

“US Retail Diesel Price: 4.832 USD/gal for the week of June 22, 2026.” Source: EIA via ycharts · ycharts.com · June 23, 2026

For Texas contractors managing aggregate delivery costs, the practical implication is direct. Any delivered material quote issued between mid-April and mid-June at pricing that reflected $5.40 to $5.80 diesel is now significantly above the current market. Hauling surcharge tables typically lag spot price changes by one to three weeks. Quotes from the April-through-May period may still have elevated surcharge components built in. Getting a current delivered aggregate price captures the actual market rather than a number calibrated to peak conditions.

For Q3 project budgets specifically, the sub-$5.00 diesel reading changes the working assumption from the May STEO level of $4.94 Q3 average toward a trajectory that may come in below that. The July 7 STEO will be the next full forecast update. Between now and then, the June 22 weekly reading of $4.832 is the most current data available [Market Intelligence]. Contractors finalizing Q3 budgets should use a current delivered quote as the input rather than any estimate built during the elevated period.

Diesel is below $5.00 for the first time since the spring spike. Five consecutive weekly declines confirm the direction. A current delivered aggregate quote is the only way to capture where the market actually is right now.

Getting a current quote before you finalize your project budget takes less than one minute.
Get market insights on LinkedIn